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15 Jan 2015

Asia Recap: Aussie bought on impressive Aus jobs

FXStreet (Bali) - In an impressive turn of events from yesterday's Asian price action, where the Aussie was battered over 1 cent on copper prices sell-off, today's Asian session served a very different purpose, with accounts piling up Aussie Dollars on upbeat Aus jobs.

The Aussie rose from sub 0.8140 levels all the way up to 0.8220, gunning through sizeable buy stop loss orders placed above both a Dec 31 2014 high and a 78.6% fib of the Jan 12-14 cycle down. After cleaning up the topside of the order board, the exchange rate retraced down to test bids along 0.8185/90, where fresh buying seems to be in crescendo.

In terms of the Australian job figures, they were simply unbelievable numbers, with the employment change s.a. coming in at 37.4K, above forecasts (3.8K) in December, with the unemployment rate s.a. at 61% vs forecasts (6.3%). Fulltime employment rose from previous 1.8K to 41.6K, while part-time employment declined to -4.2K from previous 40.8K. Participation rate came in at 64.8%, above forecasts (64.7%).

USD/JPY was also on recovery mode, breaching 117.50 resistance; bids were seen on the dip to retest the mentioned level, now officially a key intraday support heading into Europe, with the USD negative reaction to a disappointing US retail sales number fading as the Yen bull run feels quite overstretched after coming close to test 116.00 earlier on Wednesday. The Nikkei 225, up 1.1% heading into the close, acted as a supportive driver for Yen bears.

Main headlines in Asia

New Zealand Food Price Index (MoM) increased to 0.3% in December from previous -0.5%

Japan Machinery Orders (YoY) came in at -14.6% below forecasts (-5.8%) in November

Japan Machinery Orders (MoM) came in at 1.3% below forecasts (5%) in November

Japan Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index (YoY) below forecasts (2.1%) in December: Actual (1.9%)

Japan Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index (MoM) came in at -0.4% below forecasts (-0.3%) in December

United Kingdom RICS Housing Price Balance above forecasts (10%) in December: Actual (11%)

Australia publishes blockbuster jobs report

New Zealand REINZ House Price Index (MoM): -1% (December) vs previous 3.3%

China M2 Money Supply (YoY) below forecasts (12.5%) in December: Actual (12.2%)

China New Loans below expectations (852.7B) in December: Actual (697.3B)
Jan 15, 2015

NZD/USD steadies above 0.77, looking for fresh directions

The New Zealand dollar halted its long run of decline against the US counterpart in the Asian morning, and trades flat consolidating above 0.77 handle.
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Jan 15, 2015

Australia might see two rate cuts in H1 2015 – ANZ

According to ANZ, the RBA may be forced to reduce its nominal cash rate over the months ahead to maintain a suitableaccomodative policy stance as housing credit slows and inflation falls, forecasting two 25bp rate cuts over the first half of 2015.
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