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10 Feb 2016

NZD/USD keeps falling, 200-DMA eyed?

The NZD/USD pair reverses almost half of the previous rebound and extends further to the downside, with bears back in control amid risk-off market profile.

NZD/USD sold-off near hourly 100-SMA

Currently, the NZD/USD pair trades -0.37% lower at fresh session lows of 0.6610, looking to test the 200-DMA placed at 0.6595. The Kiwi broke the consolidation phase and ran through fresh offers at Tokyo open as risk-aversion re-emerged on the back of the extension of yesterday’s losses in the Japanese stocks. Japan’s Nikkei is down -2.30%, while Australia’s ASX drops -2.19%.

Moreover, the selling pressure appears to intensify after the ANZ Monthly Inflation Gauge showed that inflation in the NZ economy rose 0.6% in January, slightly lower than is typical for this time of the year. Over the three months to January, the gauge rose 0.5%. While sharp declines in its OZ neighbour, Aussie, also acts as a drag on the bird.

Meanwhile, the NZD/USD pair remains completely unperturbed by broad USD selling on falling Fed rate hike bets this year, as risk sentiment continues to drive the Antipodes. Ahead in the day, all eyes remain on the Fed Chair Yellen’s testimony and US crude supply data for fresh momentum on the pair.

NZD/USD Levels to consider

To the upside, the next resistance is located at 0.6638/46 (100-DMA/ daily high), above which it could extend gains to 0.6663/68 (Feb 8 & Jan 7 High) levels. To the downside immediate support might be located at 0.6595/86 (200-DMA/ 1h 200-SMA) and from there to 0.6537/07 (20-DMA/ Feb 3 Low).
Feb 10, 2016

USD/JPY moving in at 114.20 with air of caution

USD/JPY bears are making their mark as Tokyo gets going and its back to business on the downside. The Yen is strong across the board as Abe crosses the wires, but with little to run with saying the BoJ will take appropriate steps towards policy.
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Feb 10, 2016

USD/JPY: Suspicious spike suggests BOJ intervention

USD/JPY has popped over 70 pips in what appears to have been intervention by the BOJ, as the pair now trades below the 115.00 level, which appears to be the line in the sand drawn by Japanese officials.
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